Sunday, March 23, 2008

Is Merrill Lynch safe ??

The fall of Bear Sterns, the fifth largest Investment bank on Wall street, raises a few doubts in my mind about the safety of others in the same Business. Bear Sterns was bought by JP Morgan for $2  a share i.e something like $236 million for the bank. The Bear Sterns building is estimated to be worth a billion dollars, still it was sold for $236 million that puts into perspective the liabilities the bank currently had. It was sitting on a lot a mortgage backed securities which was turned useless in the current market situation. The leverage obtained from such securities allowed Bear Sterns to post profitable quarter after quarter.

Merrill Lynch is currently sitting on an Investment of $1 trillion dollars with a base equity of $30 billion dollars. Leverage is a great thing to make profits, but when the markets take a turn for the worse, a small in the asset values can wipe the shareholders value. I do not believe in the statements made by the Bank about the liquidity they have currently, after all the Bear Sterns CEO on tuesday made a statement that they had enough liquidity to see this bad phase through and on Friday the Bank was sold to JP Morgan.

Luckily the Federal Reserve has taken active measures to pump liquidity into the Financial System. The Fed chairman Ben Bernake (A scholar on the 1930 depression ) has taken some innovative steps to stop the Financial System from collapsing. Both Lehman Brothers and Goldman Sachs reported better than expected earnings for this quarter. The Bernake solution seems to be working, it should help the Investment banks to stay solvent and do what they are supposed to do help foster economic growth.

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